China’s central bank cut interest rates and lowered the amount of reserves banks must hold for the second time in two months on Tuesday, ratcheting up support for a stuttering economy and a plunging stock market that has sent shockwaves around the globe.
The moves came after Chinese stocks tumbled again on Tuesday, as investors despaired at the lack of policy action from Beijing in response to recent data suggesting the downturn in the world’s second-largest economy was deepening.
The People’s Bank of China (PBOC) said it was cutting the one-year benchmark bank lending rate by 25 basis points to 4.6 percent, cutting one-year benchmark deposit rates by the same amount, and reducing reserve requirements (RRR) by 50 basis points to 18 percent for most big banks.
Major Chinese stock indexes nosedived more than 7 percent on Tuesday, hitting their lowest levels since December, following a more than 8 percent plunge on Monday.
The slump had resumed last week despite Beijing’s efforts to arrest a 30 percent crash earlier in the summer with hundreds of billions of dollars of state-backed share purchases. This time, the government appeared to be sitting on its hands until Tuesday’s response, which aimed more at shoring up economic fundamentals than underpinning stocks.
“Although this has some elements of giving comfort to the market, this is more about giving a real boost to the real economy so the government can continue to have its 7 percent growth rate fulfilled,” said Liu Li-Gang, China economist at ANZ Bank in Hong Kong.
Liu said the RRR cut was the most significant element of the PBOC action, as it would inject 650 billion yuan ($101 billion), into the economy and ease concerns of a “hard landing”.
China, one of the main engines of the world economy, has overtaken Greece at the top of the worry list of global investors, who fret its economy is growing at a much slower pace than the official 7 percent target for 2015.
“Currently, there is still downward pressure on China’s economic growth,” the central bank said in a separate statement. “There is also relatively big volatility in global financial markets, which require more flexible usage of monetary policy tools.”
German Finance Minister Wolfgang Schaeuble said the situation in China would be discussed by G20 nations.
Futures limit down
The CSI300 index of the largest listed companies in Shanghai and Shenzhen dropped 7.1 percent on Tuesday, while the Shanghai Composite Index fell 7.6 percent to close below the psychologically significant 3,000-point level.
Underscoring the panic gripping the retail investors who dominate China’s stock markets, all index futures contracts fell by the maximum 10 percent daily limit, pointing to expectations of even deeper losses.
Though the PBOC move came after domestic markets had closed, stock markets in Europe jumped, and U.S. stock futures were also given a lift.
After the turmoil in China rocked world equity and commodity markets on Monday, policymakers elsewhere in Asia sought to soothe fears about the broader impact on the global economy.
“I think it’s important that people don’t hyperventilate about these types of things,” said Australian Prime Minister Tony Abbott, whose country is heavily exposed to China, the biggest consumer of its commodity exports.
“It is not unusual to see stock market corrections. It is not unusual to see bubbles burst in particular markets and for there to be some flow-on effect in other stock markets, but the fundamentals are sound.”
This week’s steep declines have taken Chinese stocks into negative territory for the year to date, although Leland Miller, president of China Beige Book International, pointed out that Chinese equity markets have shown little correlation with the real economy – either on the way up or the way down.
“Previous boom-bust cycles in Chinese stocks have also shown little or no connection to (apparent) economic performance,” said Miller, whose firm provides anecdotal survey information about China based on the Fed’s “Beige Book” model.
European Central Bank Vice President Vitor Constancio said it was too early for the ECB to respond to China’s market fall.
“Indications are that what we get out of China is that the economy is not decelerating so much to justify the rout in the stock market,” he told journalists on the sidelines of a conference.
While there is little evidence that the stock market mayhem has dampened consumer spending so far, concerns about the economy intensified after factory activity shrank at its fastest pace in almost 6-1/2 years and the central bank unexpectedly devalued its yuan currency earlier this month.
A majority of analysts, however, predicts a continued deceleration – rather than a crash – for China’s economy, and dismisses comparisons with the 2008 Global Financial Crisis or the 1997/98 crisis in Asia.
“The current panic is essentially ‘made in China’. The recent data from other major economies have generally been good and there is little to justify fears of a major global downturn,” wrote economists at Capital Economics.
“China’s recent economic data suggest that growth remains sluggish, but are not weak enough to justify fears of a hard landing.”
Some companies, too, have sought to reassure investors that China’s economy is not about to go over the cliff, with Apple Inc CEO Tim Cook and planemaker Boeing Co making encouraging noises about China on Tuesday.
Further turbulence from China cannot be excluded in the next few months, Austrian Finance Minister Hans Joerg Schelling said on Tuesday and his German counterpart Wolfgang Schaeuble said the situation in China and Brazil would be discussed by G20 nations.
Speaking after talks in Salzburg, Schaeuble also said the current wave of refugees arriving in Germany would affect the country’s budget plans but that Europe’s biggest economy could cope with the burden.
Reporting by Jens Hack; Writing by Madeline Chambers; Editing by Erik Kirschbaum.
<p>Germany’s DIHK Chambers of Commerce are worried but not alarmed by turmoil on China’s stock market and the mood does not reflect German companies’ views, the association’s managing director said on Tuesday.
“The situation on the stock exchange does not reflect the outlook of German companies on site. The mood has worsened but overall is positive, however. There is worry – yes, alarmism – no,” said Volker Treier told reporters.
“The trigger of the current Chinese crisis is actually a positive one: the good economic situation in the United States. Markets are withdrawing from China to invest in U.S. market as a result of low interest rates.”
Reporting by Tina Bellon; Writing by Madeline Chambers, editing by Erik Kirschbaum.
By Samuel Shen and Koh Gui Qing. Reporting by Koh Gui Qing in Beijing, Samuel Shen, Nathaniel Taplin and Kazanori Takada in Shanghai, Pete Sweeney in Hong Kong, Devika Krishna Kumar in Bengaluru, Leika Kihara in Tokyo, Lincoln Feast in Sydney; Writing by Alex Richardson and Will Waterman; Editing by Ian Geoghegan.